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2024-12-14 04:52:17

EDI SUSIANTO, Executive Director of the Bank of Indonesia: The decline of the Indonesian rupiah was affected by global sentiment and the rise of the US dollar.The concept of solid-state battery is partially active, with SAIC pulling up the daily limit, researching new materials and Lihu shares rising.Morgan Stanley Xing Ziqiang: China can fully withstand the improvement of the central financial deficit ratio. On December 13th, Xing Ziqiang, chief economist of Morgan Stanley China, said at the "Caijing Annual Meeting 2025: Forecast and Strategy" and the 2024 Global Wealth Management Forum that the Central Economic Work Conference broke the previous mindset of fiscal prudence. It is predicted that the budget of deficit ratio will reach a higher level next year, and may even exceed the level of 2020 (above 3.6%). With China's relatively strong national balance sheet, it can fully withstand the relatively high deficit ratio of the central government. Most other countries in the world have abandoned the so-called deficit ratio constraint of around 3% after facing the downturn of the real estate market and other factors.


Bank of Indonesia: It intervened "quite boldly" when the Indonesian rupiah fell. As the Indonesian rupiah hit a four-month low and approached the key level of 16,000 rupiah to the dollar, the Indonesian central bank intervened more actively in the market on Friday. Edi Susianto, executive director of the Monetary and Asset Securities Management Department of the Bank of Indonesia, said by SMS that in order to maintain market confidence, the central bank entered the spot, domestic non-deliverable forwards (NDF) and national debt markets. The Indonesian rupiah fell 0.4% to 15,994 to the dollar in early trading on Friday, the weakest intraday level since August 8, and the worst weekly performance since mid-November.In 2024, the actual overseas sales revenue of China's self-developed games is expected to be 18.557 billion US dollars, up 13.39% year-on-year. The Game Working Committee released the "Research Report on Games Going to Sea in China in 2024". In 2024, the global game market will be 1,216.335 billion yuan, up 3.31% year-on-year. The global mobile game market was 635.569 billion yuan, up 4.83% year-on-year. The growth trend of the global mobile game market has obviously slowed down. In 2024, the actual sales revenue of China's self-developed games in overseas markets is estimated to be $18.557 billion, up 13.39% year-on-year.The concept of unmanned driving changed partially. Both Haida and SAIC have daily limit, while the concept of unmanned driving changed partially. Both Zhonghaida and SAIC have daily limit, and Gaoxinxing, Huati Technology, Yutong Heavy Industry and Jinlong Automobile have followed suit.


Luo Zhiheng, Yuekai Securities: It is expected that the monetary policy will be further strengthened in 2025, or the RRR will be lowered or the interest rate will be reduced by 0.5 percentage points respectively. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist and dean of the research institute of Yuekai Securities, believes that overall, the tone of the meeting is more positive, and positive signals are released in terms of work objectives, policy tone and task deployment next year, which is conducive to strengthening and consolidating the momentum of sustained economic recovery next year. It is still a high probability that China's economy will achieve a growth rate of around 5% next year, as long as we implement greater fiscal and monetary policies, ensure that the policies work in the same direction, and promote a series of institutional reforms that restrict development. Luo Zhiheng predicts that in 2025, the monetary policy will be further strengthened, and the RRR and interest rate will be lowered by 0.5 percentage points respectively throughout the year; Rhythm or more advanced. In addition, the monetary policy toolbox will be further enriched and improved. On the one hand, it will adjust and optimize the policy tools such as refinancing of affordable housing, "convenient exchange of securities, funds and insurance companies" and stock repurchase and refinancing, which will be implemented and achieved practical results; On the other hand, we may appropriately narrow the width of the interest rate corridor and guide the money market interest rate to run smoothly around the policy interest rate center.Dalian Shengya had a daily limit in the afternoon, and its share price hit a record high. Since November, its cumulative increase has exceeded 150%.Wang Tao of UBS: It is estimated that deficit ratio will approach 4% of its financial resources or increase its investment in social security medical care next year. Wang Tao, head of Asian economic research and chief China economist of UBS, said that China's fiscal deficit ratio is expected to approach 4% next year, and the scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds excluding capital injection into state-owned banks may be 2 trillion yuan, and the amount of new local government special bonds may be 4.5 trillion to 5 trillion yuan. In fact, the fiscal expansion next year is relatively mild compared with the fiscal stimulus in 2008-2009. Wang Tao believes that next year, the government will increase investment in social security and medical care, and establish a more perfect social security system while boosting residents' confidence in the short term.

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